The latest Joint USAF/NOAA report indicates low solar activity over the past 24 hours, with eight sunspot regions currently visible. The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels during the same period.
Solar activity is expected to remain low for the next three days, from August 16 to 18, with a slight 15% chance each day for an M-class solar flare. The probability for more powerful X-class flares and proton events remains low at 1% daily.
The geomagnetic field is predicted to be quiet on August 16, transitioning to quiet to active levels on August 17 and 18. Middle latitudes face a minor storm probability of 5% daily, while high latitudes have a higher 30% chance of a minor storm on August 16, decreasing to 20% by August 18.