NOAA and the USAF have released their latest Joint Solar Geophysical Activity Report, detailing moderate solar activity with five numbered sunspot regions and quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours, as of July 6, 2026.
The forecast indicates that solar activity is likely to remain moderate on July 7, with a slight chance for an X-class flare. Activity is then expected to decrease to low levels on July 8 and 9, with a slight chance for an M-class flare. The geomagnetic field is predicted to be quiet on July 7 and 8, becoming quiet to active on July 9.
Specific probabilities for an M-class flare are 55% on July 7, dropping to 20% on subsequent days, while the chance for an X-class flare is 10% on July 7. For middle latitudes, there is a 25% chance of active geomagnetic conditions on July 9. High latitudes face a 20% chance of minor storms on July 7 and 9, and a 20% chance of major-severe storms on July 9.