A joint report from the USAF and NOAA indicates that solar activity has been low over the past 24 hours, with six sunspot regions currently observed. The forecast predicts continued low solar activity, though there is a 35% chance for M-class flares on July 25, 26, and 27.
The geomagnetic field experienced quiet to active levels, with solar wind speed reaching a peak of 713 km/s and electrons at geosynchronous orbit hitting 1072 pfu. The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on July 25 and 26, transitioning to unsettled to active levels on July 27.
Probabilities for geomagnetic activity in middle latitudes include a 30% chance of active conditions on July 27. High latitudes face a 30% chance of minor storms and a 40% chance of major-severe storms on July 27, according to the forecast.