NOAA/USAF Forecasts Low Solar Activity with Flare and Geomagnetic Storm Chances

NOAA and USAF reported moderate solar activity over the past 24 hours, with five sunspot regions currently visible. The joint forecast anticipates low solar activity for July 10-12, though there remains a 40% chance for M-class solar flares and a 10% chance for X-class flares each day.

The geomagnetic field has experienced quiet to active levels. Looking ahead, it is expected to be unsettled to active on July 10, quiet to active on July 11, and quiet on July 12. Probabilities for minor geomagnetic storms in middle latitudes are 5% on July 10 and 11, dropping to 1% on July 12.

High latitudes face higher chances of minor storms, at 20% for July 10 and 11, and 15% for July 12. Major-severe storm probabilities remain low across all latitudes for the forecast period.