The Center for Strategic and International Studies is reporting that Russian gasoline production has fallen by about 20 percent compared with 2025 levels, while diesel production dropped by nearly 30 percent. It said the declines prompted Moscow to restrict fuel exports in order to protect domestic supplies. The figures come from a CSIS analysis titled "Is an Energy Truce Viable in the Ukraine War?" by Yasir Atalan with Yasin Bozkus.
CSIS also said Russian fossil fuel exports continue to generate roughly $220 billion annually, describing them as one of the Kremlin's most important sources of wartime revenue. That finding appears in "The Melting Arctic Lifeline for Russia's Shadow Fleet" by Tobias Oestreich, Jose M. Macias III and Benjamin Jensen.
Separately, CSIS reported that the Bureau of Industry and Security has issued fines for export control violations totaling more than $297 million as of September 2026, more than triple the average total for the past five years. The figures are drawn from "Trump Administration Ratchets Up Export Control Penalties" by Kevin Kurland and Kate Koren.
CSIS also said the Pentagon is the central actor in federal artificial intelligence acquisition, accounting for roughly 64 percent of AI contracts and 83 percent of obligations between fiscal years 2019 and 2025. That analysis, "Understanding the U.S. Federal Government's AI Spending," was written by Yasir Atalan, Erik Tiersten-Nyman and Benjamin Jensen.