Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 91 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 485 km/s at 01/0627Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 01/0218Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 01/1905Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3767 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Apr 069 Predicted 02 Apr-04 Apr 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 01 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar 006/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Apr 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr-04 Apr A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor Storm 20/20/20 Major-severe storm 10/10/10