SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

By Newsroom America Feeds at 27 Mar 2018

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0133 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A closed mid/upper-level low -- initially centered over Arizona -- is expected to progress slowly eastward into New Mexico through today. As this occurs, a belt of enhanced mid-level flow near the base of the low is expected to overlay portions of southeastern New Mexico and southwest Texas. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to continue shifting southeastward through much of the southern High Plains by the end of the forecast period. ...Portions of Southeast New Mexico and the Trans-Pecos region of Texas... Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are expected to occur over much of the area this afternoon, as a dry antecedent air mass (e.g., minimum RH values near 15%) overlaps sustained wind speeds of 15-20 mph and dry fuels. Additionally, the Critical fire weather area across a small portion of the Trans-Pecos region of Texas has been maintained (with only minor modifications), as 00Z high-resolution guidance from the HRRR/RAP/HREF suggests slightly enhanced southwesterly flow (e.g., sustained winds speeds near 20 mph) and a drier air mass (e.g., minimum RH values of 10-15%) for at least a few hours during the afternoon. ..Elliott.. 03/27/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more



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