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Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); shaded area is uncertainty cone of forecasted cyclone path.
Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); blue area is heavy rainfall >100mm/6hr (source: eTRaP)
Legend: areas affected by potential rainfall accumulation > 50mm/24hr (NASA TRMM real-time rainfall product). Rainfall > 90mm/24h are in red (source: NASA TRMM) Alert level: orange for Mexico
This tropical cyclone can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.
In particular Mexico are affected by high winds up to 167km/h (46 m/s or 103mph).Current storm status
Analysis based on advisory number 10 for CARLOTTA-12, published on 6/16/2012 09:00 UTCThe storm is: active Current country: Mexico Current position: -98.4, 16.6 Alert level at current position: orange Basin: Atlantic Current strength: Cyclone with Saffir Simpson category 1 Current maximum sustained wind speed: 33 m/s, 65 kt
GDACS report created on 6/16/2012 11:45:45 AM.
For a more complete report, please go to http://www.gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventType=TC&eventid=30787.Summary impact analysis
The following analysis considers the forecasted track from the current position and the area affected by winds of at least Category 1 (>119 km/h). For a report on the cyclone's impact along the whole track, please see the full report.
Affected Population (XML)
Up to 0.62 million people can be affected by wind speeds of hurricane strength or above. In addition, 0.72 thousand people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.
Affected Country (provinces) (population)
Mexico (Oaxaca) (3329574), Mexico (Guerrero) (2867451).
Affected CitiesCity Class (1 to 6)CountryProvinceNameDistance (km)Wind speed (km/h)Estimated arrival time (UTC)3MexicoGuerreroManzintla38866/14/2012 11:003MexicoGuerreroAyutla4510007:305MexicoGuerreroOztocingo419708:155MexicoGuerreroXochitepec429708:155MexicoGuerreroCortijo378212:005MexicoGuerreroSan Luis Acatlan4311803:005MexicoGuerreroCoacoyulichan4811104:455MexicoGuerreroTlacoachixtlahuaca2511803:005MexicoGuerreroXochistlahuaca2711803:005MexicoOaxacaZacatepec4911803:005MexicoGuerreroLa Soledad1411803:005MexicoGuerreroIgualapa2511803:005MexicoGuerreroCruz Grande459708:155MexicoGuerreroOmetepec911803:005MexicoGuerreroVista Hermosa911803:005MexicoGuerreroCopala5011104:455MexicoOaxacaCacahuatepec2711803:005MexicoGuerreroHuanjintepec1811803:005MexicoGuerreroMarquelia4511803:005MexicoGuerreroPiedra Ancha511803:005MexicoOaxacaAlto de las Mesas3011803:005MexicoOaxacaSan Juan Bautista lo de Soto1711803:005MexicoOaxacaHuanacastle1811803:005MexicoGuerreroCuajinicuilapa1411803:005MexicoOaxacaJicayan4911803:005MexicoOaxacaLas Conchitas2911803:005MexicoOaxacaPinotepa4911803:005MexicoOaxacaSantiago2911803:005MexicoOaxacaArmenta3211803:006MexicoGuerreroAcatepec1911803:006MexicoGuerreroApetzuca449708:15(Only first 30 records shown)
Affected Critical Infrastructures
No nuclear plants affected
AirportsRunwayTypeCountryIATA CodeNameDistance (km)Wind speed (km/h)Estimated arrival time (UTC)Local or privateMexicoTa lo de Soto151186/14/2012 03:00Local or privateMexicoPNOPinotepa Nacional4611803:00
No ports affected
DamsVolumeFIPS CountryRiverNameDistance (km)Wind speed (km/h)Estimated arrival time (UTC)NexpaEl Guineo40936/14/2012 09:15
For more details on rainfall, please go to the full report on the GDACS website Logistics information
Below is a list of airports that are selected according to their suitability for cargo plane landing. The criteria considered are runway paving and length (source: Aircraft Charter World). Always check runway conditions beforehand.
For details on cargo facilities and other facilities of these airports, please check http://www.azworldairports.com. Click on the IATA code for details on airlines serving an airport.
No airports found nearby with paved runways over 8000 feet (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)
No airports found nearby with paved runways between 8000 and 4000 feet (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.Information related to the track has been collected from official bulletins distributed by regional tropical cyclones monitoring authorities by the Pacific Disaster Center. The impact analysis is performed by the Joint Research Center of the European Commission.